Subindices
A broad set of indices offering granular insights across various facets of the Indian economy
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Near-term Outlook
The Consumer Inflation Index suggests that headline inflation is likely to remain broadly contained in early 2026, barring weather-related shocks.
Near-term Outlook
The Financial Sector Soundness Index anticipates continued measured credit expansion in the final quarter of 2025, aligned with stable borrowing costs and sufficient liquidity in the system.
Near-term Outlook
The Services Activity Index is expected to remain in expansionary territory in early 2026. Growth is likely to continue due to robust demand for export services, rising digital adoption, and strong consumer spending on services.
Near-term Outlook
The Industrial Sector Performance Index is likely to show continued expansion in manufacturing activity through early 2026, largely driven by export demand, ongoing PLI incentives, and robust intermediate and capital goods output.
Near-term Outlook
Based on above-normal rainfall in 2025 and robust sowing data, the Agriculture Output Index is projected to remain strong into early 2026, signalling healthy agricultural production trends.
Near-term Outlook
With domestic liquidity favourable and strong private investor participation, the equity market is expected to remain bullish in the near term, though broad-based upside may be limited without fresh catalysts.
Near-term Outlook
The Global Economic Impact Index suggests that India’s external sector will be tested by continued geopolitical uncertainties and fluctuating global commodity prices, but policy buffers such as forex reserves and active engagement in trade diversification will aid stability.
Near-term Outlook
The Interest Rate Outlook Index suggests stability in policy rates through late 2025, with 1 Finance Research pointing to a possible 50-75 basis points cut in 2026 as inflationary pressures remain subdued and private investment picks up.